Trump Leads Biden in Key States, New York Times Poll Reveals

In a recent opinion poll conducted by The New York Times, former President Donald Trump is shown to be leading incumbent President Joe Biden in five out of six crucial swing states. The poll, conducted in the run-up to the next U.S. presidential election, highlights the shifting political landscape, with President Biden’s popularity dwindling among young voters and minority communities.

Biden trails Trump in key states ahead of the 2024 election-Source: Sky News

The survey, a collaboration between The New York Times and the Siena Institute, indicates that the Republican billionaire is ahead of his Democratic rival in the voting intentions of the following states: Nevada (52% to 41%), Georgia (49% to 43%), Arizona (49% to 44%), Michigan (48% to 43%), and Pennsylvania (48% to 44%). However, it suggests that President Biden is still expected to win in Wisconsin (47% to 45%). Worth noting is that President Biden emerged victorious in all of these states in the 2020 election.

The poll was conducted via telephone from October 22 to November 3 and involved 3,662 registered voters across the six states. It’s important to acknowledge that the survey results may not be definitive, as it was conducted a year ahead of the election, resulting in a margin of error ranging from 4.4% to 4.8%, varying by state.

Nonetheless, the survey paints a picture of a general trend not in favor of President Biden. A significant 67% of respondents believed that the country is headed in the wrong direction, with 59% disapproving of how President Biden is carrying out his role as president, including 46% who strongly disagreed. A staggering 71% expressed the view that he would be “too old to be an effective president” in his eighties.

Exactly one year away from the 2024 election, Trump is smoking Biden in five of the six swing states per ⁦@nytimes⁩. You buy it? I still can’t believe Democrats are really going to run Biden. It feels super reckless given his mental and physical state, even for them. pic.twitter.com/VwDRoLxyw7

— Clay Travis (@ClayTravis) November 5, 2023

President Biden’s declining popularity is particularly evident among young voters, with only 41% of those aged 18 to 29 indicating they would vote for him, compared to 40% for Donald Trump.

The New York Times notes that demographic groups that overwhelmingly supported Biden in 2020 now appear more divided, especially among Latinx and African American communities.

In response to these results, the Biden-Harris 2024 campaign sought to downplay their significance. Kevin Munoz, a spokesperson for the campaign, pointed out that expectations a year before the election often evolve, citing examples like President Barack Obama’s predicted defeat by a substantial margin before his successful re-election in 2012, and the dire predictions for the 2022 midterm elections that ultimately had limited losses for Democrats.

Munoz concluded by saying, “We will win in 2024 by rolling up our sleeves and getting to work, not by fixating on polling.”